MY BIG TREND ANALYSIS FOR SILVER INVESTOR
MY BIG TREND ANALYSIS FOR SILVER INVESTOR by Chris Vermeulen for The Technical Traders
Everyone seems to be focused on Gold recently and seems to be ignoring the real upside potential in Silver. With all the global economic issues, military tensions, geopolitical issues, and other items continually pushed into the news cycles, it is easy to understand why traders and investors may be ignoring Silver.
Silver has really not started to move like the other precious metals. Gold is up over 45% since 2016. Palladium is up over 350% since 2016. Silver is up only 29% since 2016. The Gold to Silver ratio is currently at 86.7 – very near to the highest level on record going back over 25 years.
Historically, Silver rallies 6 to 12+ months after Gold begins a price rally. The big break in the Gold to Silver ratio comes at a time when Gold rallies by more than 30% to 60% faster than the price of Silver. In other words, when a major disparity sets up in the price of Gold compared to the price of Silver, then Silver explodes higher – which results in a drop in the Gold to Silver ratio.
Currently, the relative price of Gold to Silver is over 200%. Considering this fact and considering the under-performance of Silver recently, our researchers believe Silver is setting up a massive basing pattern in preparation for an explosive upside move.
Our research team put together this chart to help illustrate the real upside potential in Silver. This Monthly chart highlights the Gold to the Silver ratio (Darker BLUE), the price of Gold (Gold) and the price of Silver (light BLUE) over the past 20 years.
Every time Gold broke a sideways Flag formation and began to rally substantially higher, Silver followed Gold higher 5 to 12 months after with an incredible upside price rally. In 2005, Silver rallied over 100%. In 2009, Silver rallied almost 400%. Now, in 2020, could Silver rally 100%, 200%, 300% or more?